Maharashtra’s First Five-Phase LS Polls: Advantage BJP?

In a groundbreaking move, Maharashtra gears up for its Lok Sabha elections across five phases, spanning from April 19 to May 20. This unprecedented elongated schedule has sparked a flurry of speculation, with opposition voices suggesting it might tilt the scales in favor of the BJP.

Rival parties point out that the BJP and its allies are caught in a bitter seat-sharing tussle here, and it gives them more time now to coordinate when it comes to critical constituencies as well as figure out the best utilisation of their star campaigners. 

For the first time in the state’s electoral history, Western Maharashtra and North Maharashtra are slated for the last two phases of polling on May 13 and 20 respectively. Critics argue that this strategic arrangement offers the BJP and its allies ample time to navigate through the complexities of seat-sharing negotiations and rally their resources effectively.

Marathwada emerges as a focal point with elections spread across three phases for its 8 seats. This cautious approach underscores the volatile dynamics of the region, with the Shiv Sena and NCP locking horns amidst simmering issues like the Maratha reservation and OBC backlash.

Contrastingly, Vidarbha witnesses a swift two-phase polling process starting from April 19, reflecting a different electoral landscape altogether.

Amidst these intricacies, Mumbai stands out, slated for the final phase of polling. However, this scheduling might pose a challenge for the BJP, given its significant voter base among North Indian immigrants who often travel during summer vacations.

Undeniably, the BJP aims to leverage the charismatic appeal of Prime Minister Modi across the state. With strategically spaced phases, the party can orchestrate Modi’s rallies more effectively, complemented by mega events featuring stalwarts like Amit Shah and Yogi Adityanath.

Maharashtra’s Deputy Chief Minister, Devendra Fadnavis, spearheads an extensive campaign strategy covering all 48 constituencies, alongside collaborative efforts with key allies like Shiv Sena and NCP.

While the number of phases has escalated to five this time, historically Maharashtra has seen fewer phases even with a considerable number of constituencies. This escalation has drawn criticism from opposition quarters, questioning the necessity for such elongated polls.

NCP president Jayant Patil’s skepticism resonates as he points out the apparent alignment of poll dates with the BJP’s campaign strategy. Such sentiments echo across opposition circles, suggesting a tactical move to bolster the ruling party’s position.

However, BJP leaders dismiss these concerns, asserting that the Election Commission determines the election timetable impartially. They argue that an extended campaign period benefits all parties equally, providing ample opportunities for outreach and engagement.

As Maharashtra braces for a politically charged electoral showdown, the strategic deployment of resources and the resonance of leadership personas will undoubtedly shape the outcome. With each phase, the narrative unfolds, setting the stage for a high-stakes battle of ideologies and aspirations.